Wedoany.com Report-Apr. 14, China is set to rely less on grain imports in the 2025/26 season as domestic wheat and corn production increases. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts China’s corn output at 300 million tonnes for 2025/26, a 1.7% rise from the previous year. This growth is attributed to new genetically engineered corn varieties that enhance yields significantly.

Wheat production is also projected to grow by 1.5% in 2025/26, supported by improved yields and expanded planting areas. Higher corn yields are enabling a greater use of corn in animal feed, with its share in feed rations expected to remain substantial. This shift strengthens domestic supply chains and reduces the need for imported grains.

The USDA noted: “Production of sorghum and barley is projected to remain stable, while imports of these commodities are expected to decline due to a combination of efforts to reduce grain imports, availability of additional commodities, and global market conditions.” Factors such as sufficient domestic supply and international market dynamics are contributing to this trend. Recently, China halted sorghum imports from C&D (USA) Inc. after detecting excessive mycotoxin levels, reflecting a focus on quality control.

Feed consumption in China is expected to see a slight increase in the 2024/25 season, driven by steady demand for hog feed and growing needs for poultry feed. Hog production is forecasted to rise in 2025, fueled by better management practices and improved animal health, which boost the number of pigs produced per sow annually. However, this growth may be tempered by a reduction in sow numbers.

Authorities in Beijing are encouraging a shift from pork to poultry consumption, as the USDA highlighted: “Beijing is urging consumers to switch from pork to chicken because the feed conversion rate of chicken is much higher than that of pigs.” Poultry requires less feed per unit of meat produced, aligning with efforts to optimize resource use and support sustainable agricultural practices.

These developments reflect China’s focus on enhancing agricultural productivity and self-sufficiency. By leveraging advanced crop varieties and refining livestock management, the country aims to meet rising domestic demand while navigating global market challenges. The emphasis on higher-yield grains and efficient feed use underscores a balanced approach to ensuring food security and supporting the agricultural sector’s growth.

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